Forecasting Labour Markets in OECD Countries

Forecasting Labour Markets in OECD Countries

Measuring and Tackling Mismatches

Labour Markets and Employment Policy series

Edited by Michael Neugart and Klaus Schömann

This book offers a wide-ranging overview of the state of labour market forecasting in selected OECD countries. Besides presenting forecasting models, the contributions provide an introduction to past experiences of forecasting, highlight the requirements for building appropriate data sets and present the most up-to-date forecasts available.

Chapter 9: Projections of Qualifications and Occupations in Austria: Short-term Approaches, Macro Perspective and Emphasis on the Supply Side

Lorenz Lassnigg

Subjects: social policy and sociology, labour policy

Extract

9. Projections of qualifications and occupations in Austria: short-term approaches, macro perspective and emphasis on the supply side Lorenz Lassnigg1 1 INTRODUCTION The contribution gives an overview of various activities in connection with the forecasting of future developments in the field of employment, occupations and qualifications in Austria. The main focus is placed on a selection of more recent studies. However, to provide a more detailed understanding of the Austrian case, the report on recent studies is embedded in the broader context of the main forecasting activities performed since the 1960s. An overview of the main activities in Austria is given in Section 2, providing basic information about the regularly performed forecasting activities of economic development, the labour market and the supply from education and training, and about large-scale forecasting activities in the field of education and the labour market since the 1960s. Section 3 focuses on the results of recent studies about occupations and qualifications in order to depict the basic structural traits of the Austrian employment and qualification nexus and to discuss the main shortcomings in terms of the information basis. With regard to the more short-term economic forecasting activities only some basic points are mentioned, as they are used as an input to the more detailed forecasts. The fourth section on data and methodology gives an overview of the basic features of the regular forecasting activities, followed by a more detailed description of the methodology used in the recent projections of occupations and...

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