Long-run Growth and Short-run Stabilization

Long-run Growth and Short-run Stabilization

Essays in Memory of Albert Ando

Edited by Lawrence R. Klein

There is much confusion in the economics literature on wage determination and the employment–inflation trade-off. Few model builders pay as much careful attention to the definition and meaning of long-run concepts as did Albert Ando. Expanding on years of painstaking work by Ando, the contributors elaborate on the main issues of economic analysis and policies that concerned him.

Chapter 8: Monetary and Fiscal Policy in a Liquidity Trap

Alan J. Auerbach and Maurice Obstfeld

Subjects: economics and finance, econometrics


8. Monetary and fiscal policy in a liquidity trap* Alan J. Auerbach and Maurice Obstfeld 1. INTRODUCTION Over the last several years of his life, Albert Ando devoted considerable attention to the Japanese economy. His last published work considered Japan’s economic problems during its ‘lost decade’ of the 1990s. Ando (2002a) argued that the substantial collapse in the value of household assets that occurred with the bursting of the asset price bubble was sufficient to explain the weakness of Japan’s aggregate demand, while at the same time suggesting that Japan’s corporations had overinvested in domestic capital. Ando (2002b) found that the Japanese national accounts understate the true size of Japan’s government sector. With weak household demand, private investment at least at a level consistent with low long-term interest rates and zero short-term interest rates, and government spending and budget deficits already at high levels, Japan’s efforts to stimulate its economy over the past decade have led to apparent macroeconomic policy paralysis. In earlier work (Auerbach and Obstfeld, 2004, 2005), we argued that open-market expansions of the money supply could be used effectively in such an environment, as long as (1) agents in the economy already expect that the liquidity trap is not permanent; and (2) the monetary policy change is permanent and credible. The economic stimulus from such a policy would come through two channels, from a short-run increase in the inflation rate and a long-run reduction in the tax burden. In this chapter, we...

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