Global Economic Crisis

Global Economic Crisis

Impacts, Transmission and Recovery

KDI/EWC series on Economic Policy

Edited by Maurice Obstfeld, Dongchul Cho and Andrew Mason

The expert contributors compare the recent crisis with earlier crises, explore international aspects of the crisis from the perspectives of financial markets and trade, and examine macroeconomic policy responses. In so doing, they address important questions including: How did this crisis differ from those suffered previously? How and why did flaws in financial markets contribute to the crisis? How important were global imbalances and global overheating in explaining the global meltdown? Did different pre-crisis fundamentals generate different post-crisis performances? And, how severe were the economic shocks to countries such as Korea and other emerging economies?

Chapter 4: International Financial Markets and Transmission of the Crisis: Determinants of Exchange Market Pressure and Absorption by International Reserves

Joshua Aizenman and Michael M. Hutchison

Subjects: economics and finance, financial economics and regulation, international economics


Joshua Aizenman and Michael M. Hutchison INTRODUCTION This chapter evaluates how the global financial crisis emanating from the United States was transmitted globally. Our focus is on the extent that the crisis caused external pressures (exchange market pressure), measured by a combination of exchange rate depreciation and loss of international reserves, across different regions of the world and across countries with different income levels and differing levels of restrictions on international capital flows. International financial markets were at the heart of the worldwide financial crisis that emerged in late 2007 and reaching a climax between August 2008 and February 2009. Although the crisis started with the mortgagerelated (subprime) crisis in the United States, and was closely linked to banks in Western Europe holding mortgage-backed securities and derivative products, it quickly led to a global liquidity crisis that had a great and adverse affect on the rest of the world. We focus in this chapter on the extent to which the global financial shock adversely affected the external position of countries throughout the world, but especially in emerging market economies. We measure external position by looking at changes in exchange market pressure—a combination of exchange market depreciation and loss of international reserves— as well as considering these two components separately. We are interested in two basic questions. First, how has the transmission of the global shock been affected by the extent of international balance sheet exposure, financial development and financial openness?1 Second, given the degree of exchange market pressure,...

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