Asia Beyond the Global Economic Crisis

Asia Beyond the Global Economic Crisis

The Transmission Mechanism of Financial Shocks

Edited by Satoshi Inomata

The characteristic feature of the recent global economic crisis is the speed and extent of the shock transmission. The development of cross-national production networks in recent years has significantly deepened the economic interdependency between countries, and a shock that occurs in one region can be swiftly and extensively transmitted to the rest of the globe. The sudden contraction of world trade and output was a negative outcome of this intertwined global economic system. Based on the method known as international input–output analyses, this book provides a detailed examination of the mechanics of shock transmission by probing the labyrinth of complex supply networks among nations.

Chapter 5: The Impact of the Financial Crisis on Factory Asia

Kazunobu Hayakawa

Subjects: asian studies, asian economics, economics and finance, asian economics, international economics


Kazunobu Hayakawa INTRODUCTION 1. Due to the recent financial crisis, consumer demand has plummeted remarkably all over the world. Such a decrease gradually led to a stop in the running of ‘Factory Asia’.1 One of the key sources of recent Asian economic development was the expansion of exports in both consumption and intermediate products. Asia formed sophisticated international production networks in a period of dramatic activity, including the so-called ‘Asian Miracle’ period (the former half of the 1990s) and serious currency crisis in 1997–1998 (Kimura, 2006). It churned out millions of different consumption products with world-beating price–quality ratios by sourcing billions of different parts and components from plants spread across a dozen nations in Asia. Due to the recent decrease in global consumer demand, however, such products now seem to have nowhere to go. The impacts of the changes in demand on Factory Asia have been explored by employing the well-known gravity equation. By applying gravity equations to bilateral trade data at the industrial level, some researchers have found more active trade in parts and components in country-pairs with one of the countries having a large GDP, either as an importer or an exporter (see, for example, Athukorala and Yamashita, 2006; Kimura et al., 2007). Also, Hayakawa (2007) examines what contributed to the trade growth of intermediate machinery goods in Asia in the 1990s. His empirical results suggest that the reduction in border barriers and the increase in production of intermediate goods are important factors for the rapid...

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