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J.S.L. McCombie

This paper reconsiders the argument first debated in the 1980s and revisited by and , inter alios, that Thirlwall's law is nothing but a near-identity. It is shown theoretically and by simulation analysis that this proposition is erroneous. It is also demonstrated that specification of the balance-of-payments-constrained growth model is problematical. The paper concludes by assessing the effectiveness of the rate of change of relative prices for export and import growth. Recent evidence provides further support for the importance of non-price competitiveness in international trade and, hence, for Thirlwall's law.

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J. S. L. McCombie

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The Role of the Balance of Payments in Economic Growth

Challenging the Supply-side Vision of the Long Run

J.S.L. McCombie and Mark Roberts