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Jingdong Yuan

One of China’s priorities in defense modernization is to develop a military strategy based on fighting and winning informationized local wars, in particular its ability to deter and defeat Taiwan independence and US military intervention in any possible Taiwan Strait scenarios. Informed by its long-held tradition of active defense, this strategy places great emphasis on engaging a superior enemy through asymmetrical warfare, and highlights the critical importance of Anti-Access/Area Denial (A2/AD) that place an opponent’s fixed – and increasingly mobile – assets in the Western Pacific theater at risk. The chapter will review and discuss these developments, the US AirSea Battle Concept (ASBC) and alternative responses to the A2/AD challenges and explains the potential risks of miscalculation and escalation. It argues for greater US–China military dialogue and the introduction of crisis management mechanisms in order to prevent major escalation and open confrontation between the region’s two great powers.