Limited versus Unlimited Flexibility
Edited by Johan Albrecht
Chapter 3: Economic efficiency of cross-sectoral emissions trading in CO2 in the European Union
3. Economic efﬁciency of cross-sectoral emissions trading in CO2 in the European Union1 Pantelis Capros, Leonidas Mantzos, Matti Vainio and Peter Zapfel 1. INTRODUCTION Most economic analysis and models of emissions trading in greenhouse gases have been on a fairly aggregate international level and implicitly assumed governments to be the main actors. The models have mainly varied in terms of country coverage (for example Annex B, non-Annex B, OECD countries only and so on) in the trading regime. Several studies concluded that if all Annex B countries traded amongst themselves, the cost of complying with the Kyoto (or other climate) target would be reduced signiﬁcantly. For instance, in a recent study by Coherence (1999) it was estimated that the compliance cost for all Annex B countries would be reduced by 58 per cent if trading were allowed among all of them. The compliance cost for the EU would be reduced by 15 per cent. Other studies give similar orders of magnitude and show that the costs of complying with the Kyoto Protocol are signiﬁcantly lower under international emissions trading than if any of the major industrial countries implemented the Protocol target individually. This is conﬁrmed by all general equilibrium model results shown in Table 3.1 and also by the world energy model POLES, which demonstrates that, without trading, the EU countries would need to raise the price of CO2 by €38 per ton in 2010. It would rise only by €20 with international emissions trading. The...
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