A Keynesian Approach
- New Directions in Modern Economics series
Chapter 4: Explaining the Rise in European Unemployment: An Evaluation of the NAIRU Story and a Keynesian Approach
4. Explaining the rise in European unemployment: an evaluation of the NAIRU story and a Keynesian approach While the NAIRU theory stresses labour market institutions as the cause for the rise in European unemployment, Keynesian approaches highlight demand deﬁciency and, more speciﬁcally, low capital investment as the key reason. In this chapter some econometric ﬁndings regarding the causes of the rise in unemployment are reported. The empirical work will cover the large European countries – Germany, France, Italy and the UK – and, for comparisons, the USA. We focus on the large European countries because they are the ones that experienced the most pronounced increase in unemployment, whereas many small European countries fared remarkably well. Since we are interested in the rise in unemployment, the method employed will be time series analysis. The period of investigation will cover the period from the early 1960s to the mid-1990s. This chapter presents the empirical tests that are performed to evaluate the explanatory power of the NAIRU model and the Keynesian model. It is structured as follows. First, we present basic speciﬁcations of the NAIRU and the Keynesian model. Second, we discuss data sources and the time series properties of the variables. Third, the econometric method utilized is presented. Fourth, the tests for the NAIRU model and, ﬁfth, of the Keynesian model are presented. Section 6 combines the two models. Finally issues of robustness and causality are discussed. Additional tests are to be found in the Appendix. 4.1 BASIC SPECIFICATION OF THE...
You are not authenticated to view the full text of this chapter or article.
Elgaronline requires a subscription or purchase to access the full text of books or journals. Please login through your library system or with your personal username and password on the homepage.
Non-subscribers can freely search the site, view abstracts/ extracts and download selected front matter and introductory chapters for personal use.
Your library may not have purchased all subject areas. If you are authenticated and think you should have access to this title, please contact your librarian.