Edited by J. Stanley Metcalfe and John Foster
Chapter 9: A Conceptual Framework to Model Long-run Qualitative Change in the Energy System
9. A conceptual framework to model long-run qualitative change in the energy system Andreas Pyka, Bernd Ebersberger and Horst Hanusch1 INTRODUCTION The energy-related industries are sectors where, compared to many other industries, extremely long time horizons are relevant for the strategic planning of the actors. On the one hand, the investment costs are extremely high and most often irreversible, that is, the power plants cannot be used for other purposes; on the other, the investment time for constructing new power plants and complementary activities such as the construction of distribution networks is also extremely protracted. Additionally, the inﬂuence of regulatory authorities as well as political actors is strong due to the speciﬁc industry history (that is, energy is considered to be of decisive national importance) and the strong interrelation with other economic and social activities (for example, environmental issues, transport and so on). Finally, technological development is often extremely costly as well as uncertain, which makes joint eﬀorts between public and private actors necessary. Bearing in mind these speciﬁc industry characteristics, the energy sector seems to be of particular interest when it comes to the analysis of the longrun and technological-driven evolution of industries. Although there is a rather long tradition in economics for studying the transformation of industries, starting at the beginning of the twentieth century with Joseph Schumpeter, Simon Kuznets and J.B. Clark, since the late 1950s this long-term view has been lost in the industrial economics literature. There are basically two reasons for...
You are not authenticated to view the full text of this chapter or article.
Elgaronline requires a subscription or purchase to access the full text of books or journals. Please login through your library system or with your personal username and password on the homepage.
Non-subscribers can freely search the site, view abstracts/ extracts and download selected front matter and introductory chapters for personal use.
Your library may not have purchased all subject areas. If you are authenticated and think you should have access to this title, please contact your librarian.