The Great Recession and the Contradictions of Contemporary Capitalism
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The Great Recession and the Contradictions of Contemporary Capitalism

  • New Directions in Modern Economics series

Edited by Riccardo Bellofiore and Giovanna Vertova

The current crisis is one of the great crises punctuating the long history of capitalism, and to be properly understood it is vital to take into account its ongoing structural transformation. This book offers plural perspectives on the Great Recession, placing the analysis of finance, class and gender at the center of the debate. It begins with a comprehensive insight into the crisis, before moving on to focus on debt, asset inflation and financial fragility. Following chapters discuss global imbalances, structural monetary reform and the management of public finance, including a investigation of the Italian experience. The book concludes with novel contributions on the gender dimension of the crisis and the analogies between a nuclear and financial chain reaction.
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Chapter 7: Speculation, financial fragility and stock-flow consistency

Jo Michell

Extract

Minsky argued that, under the conditions imposed by modern capitalism, it is impossible for households, firms and banks to avoid speculative decision making when financing their expenditures: ‘speculation cannot be avoided—to decide is to place a bet’ (Minsky 1975/2008, p. 75). Building on the theoretical system of Keynes’s General Theory, Minsky’s analysis incorporates changing perceptions of financial risk into the investment decisions of firms to develop a theory of the business cycle based on financial fragility. This chapter argues that Minsky’s theory relies on the macroeconomic assumption that, during an investment boom, the firms sector as a whole operates with an increasing financial deficit which is matched by the saving of the household sector. Firms’ investment in capital goods is thus financed, via the intermediation of the banking system, by household savings. In such a system, the speculative decisions made by each sector are summarised as follows: [S]peculation has three aspects: (1) the owners of capital-assets speculate by debt-financing investment and positions in the stock of capital-assets; (2) banks and other financial institutions speculate on the asset mix they own and the liability mix they owe; (3) firms and households speculate on the financial assets they own and on how they finance their position in such assets (Minsky 1975/2008, p. 121).

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