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Negotiating Climate Change

A Forensic Analysis

Aynsley Kellow

This book examines how an error in global meta-policy set climate change negotiations on an unproductive course. The decision to base negotiations on the Montreal Protocol and overlook the importance of interests, it argues, institutionalised an approach doomed to fail. By analysing interests, science and norms in the process, and the neglect of ‘interactive minilateralism’, learning was delayed until the more promising Paris Agreement was finally concluded, only to encounter a Trump Presidency, which (ironically) might offer further learning opportunities.
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Chapter 6: Paris: the end – or a new beginning?

A Forensic Analysis

Aynsley Kellow

Extract

This concluding chapter argues that the Paris Agreement was a new beginning in global climate policy, but one that was jeopardized because of the highly partisan nature of politics, especially in the US, driven by politicized science, interests and normative campaigns, and the reliance of the Obama administration on executive orders that could readily be overturned by Trump. Indeed, the Paris Agreement was not called a treaty, at the request of Obama, so that he could avoid the need for ratification in the Senate. Unfortunately for global policy, Trump decided to withdraw the US from Paris, although this decision leaves open the possibility of the US renegotiating its position, and possibly even improving global policy further.

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