Past, Present and Future
Chapter 5: Travel forecasting based on discrete choice models, II
Great strides were made in the early 1970s to develop an approach to urban travel forecasting that involved summing up (aggregating) the probable behaviour of individuals derived from models specified and estimated at the micro-level. For such models, the discrete choice random utility maximising (RUM) framework provided the theoretical and practical foundations for multi-modal forecasting and for exploring the relationship between the structure of models and hypotheses relating to the trip decision process. In this chapter we recount further theoretical and practical developments of this approach. We arrange this material in two parts: sections 5.2 to 5.6 recount developments in the period from the mid-1970s to the mid-1980s, while section 5.7 provides a guide to more recent advances.
You are not authenticated to view the full text of this chapter or article.
Elgaronline requires a subscription or purchase to access the full text of books or journals. Please login through your library system or with your personal username and password on the homepage.
Non-subscribers can freely search the site, view abstracts/ extracts and download selected front matter and introductory chapters for personal use.
Your library may not have purchased all subject areas. If you are authenticated and think you should have access to this title, please contact your librarian.