Past, Present and Future
Chapter 11: Achievements, current challenges and future prospects
Our survey of historical developments in urban travel forecasting is almost complete. The journey, which began in the US in the 1950s, has covered much ground. The theory, methods and practice of travel forecasting evolved into a worldwide phenomenon, and were adapted and developed to meet local needs to varying degrees. In this chapter we offer our personal and inevitably selective views on the nature of progress in the field over the last six decades, outline what we see as current challenges, and identify some unanswered questions and possible areas of investigation. We hope to stimulate or rekindle debate about research priorities in this field.
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