Forecasting Urban Travel
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Forecasting Urban Travel

Past, Present and Future

David E. Boyce and Huw C.W.L. Williams

Forecasting Urban Travel presents in a non-mathematical way the evolution of methods, models and theories underpinning travel forecasts and policy analysis, from the early urban transportation studies of the 1950s to current applications throughout the urbanized world. From original documents, correspondence and interviews, especially from the United States and the United Kingdom, the authors seek to capture the spirit and problems faced in different eras, as changing information requirements, computing technology and planning objectives conditioned the nature of forecasts.
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Chapter 12: Conclusion

David E. Boyce and Huw C.W.L. Williams


In Chapter 11 we discussed several technical advances made over the years, as well as current challenges, as possible pointers to future research requirements. In this concluding chapter we wish to address some further rather more general questions. The first is to ask how progress was achieved, as a means of identifying the preconditions for the creation, diffusion and adoption of new ideas. Then, we want to consider how the accumulated experience of the field can be passed on, particularly to new generations of urban transportation planners and travel forecasters, as well as interested citizens. At several points we shall express personal views, hoping that they will stimulate or rekindle debate.

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