The Economics of Sports Betting
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The Economics of Sports Betting

Edited by Plácido Rodríguez, Brad R. Humphreys and Robert Simmons

This unique book delves into a number of intriguing issues and addresses several pertinent questions including, should gambling markets be privatized? Is the ‘hot hand’ hypothesis real or a myth? Are the ‘many’ smarter than the ‘few’ in estimating betting odds? How are prices set in fixed odds betting markets? The book also explores the informational efficiency of betting markets and the prevalence of corruption and illegal betting in sports.
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Chapter 7: Market efficiency and the favorite–longshot bias: evidence from handball betting markets

Arne Feddersen

Abstract

Considerable attention has been devoted to the presence of favourite-longshot boas in sports betting markets where favourites are ‘under-bet’ with odds that are superior to those predicted under fully efficient markets. Underdogs are ‘under-bet’ with odds that are even more unfair than those that would be predicted under market efficiency. The favourite-longshot bias has been well-documented in horse racing. In this chapter the author extends the analysis of favourite-longshot bias to European handball leagues covering six countries. The chapter uses regression-based analysis to demonstrate the presence of favourite-longshot bias in handball with market inefficiency observed as a consequence.

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